Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.511010 0.594986 0.688054 0.798797 0.926948 1.070550 1.243664
2025-02-16 0.373230 0.485452 0.623678 0.806237 1.040850 1.332102 1.721112
2025-02-23 0.296607 0.417441 0.577866 0.805985 1.121655 1.542764 2.147101
2025-03-02 0.243582 0.365673 0.538008 0.798274 1.180744 1.721591 2.544190
2025-03-09 0.206950 0.328585 0.509638 0.797690 1.243529 1.906422 2.966247
2025-03-16 0.172358 0.287891 0.468307 0.769153 1.257043 2.015880 3.284622
2025-03-23 0.161216 0.281784 0.478309 0.820055 1.397808 2.333137 3.960368
2025-03-30 0.138500 0.252756 0.446730 0.797731 1.414957 2.452732 4.327206
2025-04-06 0.119093 0.226362 0.415585 0.771036 1.419614 2.549461 4.663148
2025-04-13 0.103254 0.203966 0.388182 0.746679 1.424019 2.644053 5.003121
2025-04-20 0.094021 0.192560 0.379023 0.754089 1.486183 2.846556 5.559197
2025-04-27 0.090133 0.190947 0.387869 0.796400 1.618409 3.190842 6.417465
2025-05-04 0.083860 0.183928 0.385852 0.818215 1.715603 3.483824 7.219747
2025-05-11 0.076955 0.174666 0.378262 0.828002 1.790416 3.742775 7.987791
2025-05-18 0.069999 0.164233 0.366769 0.827837 1.843994 3.963992 8.702523
2025-05-25 0.063248 0.153255 0.352621 0.819924 1.879654 4.151372 9.366396
2025-06-01 0.057851 0.144606 0.342426 0.819325 1.930918 4.376716 10.137038
2025-06-08 0.051091 0.131718 0.320943 0.790030 1.913577 4.450281 10.578030
2025-06-15 0.050298 0.133367 0.333486 0.842284 2.091341 4.977969 12.112493
2025-06-22 0.045041 0.122967 0.315868 0.819367 2.087405 5.089588 12.687716
2025-06-29 0.040136 0.112766 0.297418 0.791963 2.069025 5.164939 13.184059
2025-07-06 0.035902 0.103740 0.280766 0.766959 2.053477 5.245003 13.700442
2025-07-13 0.033637 0.099811 0.276798 0.774565 2.122385 5.539353 14.786448